York City 1-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.26
6+ Goals
11%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.3
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
14%
5.77
X/2
14%
4.97
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.5
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.34/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.47
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
24.01.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
29.08.2022 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
1-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH York City vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City and Oldham Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, York City had 51% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 49%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for York City and 1.67 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of York City vs Oldham Athletic?

York City 1-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split York City 36%, draw 28%, Oldham Athletic 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5
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