Hartlepool United 2-1 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Dec 2024

Hartlepool United
2-1 HT 0-0
Yeovil
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Hartlepool United vs Yeovil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 33% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.65
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.35
X/2
10%
7.65
X/X
17%
4.72
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
13%
5.84
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.7pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Yeovil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.48/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.34
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
200 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 145 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hartlepool United vs Yeovil Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Yeovil
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Yeovil Yeovil 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
20.02.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
21.11.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 1-3 HT 1-3 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
18.01.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 2-2 HT 2-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
12.11.2019 Yeovil Yeovil 1-4 HT 1-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United FAK
05.10.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL

Hartlepool United 2-1 Yeovil — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-1
AWAY Yeovil
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United nicked a narrow win over Yeovil 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 53% of the ball to Yeovil's 47%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.00 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Yeovil?

Hartlepool United 2-1 Yeovil in the England - National League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 42%, draw 28%, Yeovil 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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