York City 3-0 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 27% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
12%
3.77
X/2
12%
10.4
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1
10%
24.7
2/2
9%
8.58
2/X
9%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.22/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.24
+17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
164 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 148 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Southend United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
10.02.2024 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
16.09.2023 York City York City 3-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
11.02.2023 Southend United Southend United 0-2 HT 0-0 York City York City FAK
04.02.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
29.10.2022 York City York City 0-2 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
3-0
AWAY Southend United
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York City vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City ran out comfortable winners over Southend United 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, York City had 63% of the ball to Southend United's 37%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for York City and 0.83 for Southend United.

What was the final score of York City vs Southend United?

York City 3-0 Southend United in the England - National League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split York City 50%, draw 25%, Southend United 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
21 Dec 2024
18:00 Barnet vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Hartlepool United vs Yeovil Analysis →
18:00 Woking vs Altrincham Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
18:00 Braintree Town vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →