Ashton United 1-0 Macclesfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Jan 2025

📅07/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.20/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.05
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Macclesfield
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 7-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNFAT
10.09.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
26.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 0-2 HT 0-2 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 5-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
1-0
AWAY Macclesfield
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Macclesfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United nicked a narrow win over Macclesfield 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Macclesfield at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ashton United had 45% of the ball to Macclesfield's 55%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Macclesfield led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Ashton United and 3.75 for Macclesfield.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Macclesfield?

Ashton United 1-0 Macclesfield in the England - Non League Premier on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Macclesfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 28%, draw 21%, Macclesfield 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Macclesfield), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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