Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lazio v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lazio 2-2 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio and Fiorentina traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.
The preview numbers (40% / 33% / 27%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Fiorentina saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.73 to 1.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Lazio against 1.17 for Fiorentina.
Lazio vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score
Lazio 2 - 2 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lazio 40%, draw 33%, Fiorentina 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.