Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lazio 1-2 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina squeezed past Lazio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Fiorentina made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lazio had 70% of the ball to Fiorentina's 30%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lazio.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lazio and 0.83 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Fiorentina?
Lazio 1-2 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lazio 40%, draw 27%, Fiorentina 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.