Lecce 0-4 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 Jan 2025

Lecce
0-4 HT 0-2
Inter
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
19%
4.49
Away Pick
63%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.03
Over
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.7
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
28%
3.1
6+
11%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
13.9
1/2
7%
23.0
1/X
6%
22.1
X/1
7%
15.75
X/2
15%
3.74
X/X
8%
6.51
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
42%
1.62
2/X
5%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Inter win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
18%
Home Win
13%
+4.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
63%
Away Win
68%
-4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce The Market 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter The Market 72%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.06/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.81
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +16%
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 511 · 87%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
16.9 Crosses 23.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Inter
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.94 xG 2.09
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
244 Passes 508
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
25.02.2024 Lecce Lecce 0-4 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
23.12.2023 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
05.03.2023 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
13.08.2022 Lecce Lecce 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
19.01.2020 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-4
AWAY Inter
0.88 xG 2.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
377 Passes 407
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter cruised past Lecce 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Lecce had 50% of the ball to Inter's 50%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.88 to 2.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lecce and 2.17 for Inter.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Inter?

Lecce 0-4 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lecce 18%, draw 19%, Inter 63%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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