Udinese vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Udinese v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Udinese vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Udinese 1-2 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Roma squeezed past Udinese 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Roma found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Udinese had 49% of the ball to Roma's 51%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.80 to 2.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roma's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Udinese and 1.83 for Roma.
What was the final score of Udinese vs Roma?
Udinese 1-2 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Udinese vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Udinese 38%, draw 27%, Roma 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Udinese), Under 2.5 went the other way.