Roma 3-0 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Sep 2024

Roma
3-0 HT 1-0
Udinese
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.4
X/1
12%
3.89
X/2
10%
9.26
X/X
9%
5.29
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
14%
7.2
2/X
6%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.82/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.71
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.8 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Udinese
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 Passes 331
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
26.11.2023 Roma Roma 3-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
16.04.2023 Roma Roma 3-0 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
04.09.2022 Udinese Udinese 4-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
13.03.2022 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
23.09.2021 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
3-0
AWAY Udinese
1.90 xG 0.73
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
495 Passes 277
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma cruised past Udinese 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Roma had 62% of the ball to Udinese's 38%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.90 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roma and 1.17 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Roma vs Udinese?

Roma 3-0 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Roma 45%, draw 24%, Udinese 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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