Monza vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monza v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Monza vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Monza
İTA
1-2
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
Monza 1-2 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna squeezed past Monza 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monza had 42% of the ball to Bologna's 58%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.57 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monza and 0.50 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Monza vs Bologna?
Monza 1-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monza vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Monza 27%, draw 30%, Bologna 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.