Lecce 0-4 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Feb 2024

Lecce
0-4 HT 0-1
Inter
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Lecce vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.6
1/2
9%
23.6
1/X
6%
17.95
X/1
7%
11.7
X/2
17%
3.61
X/X
11%
5.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.92
2/X
8%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecce v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 66%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.03/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.92
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +14%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 85%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
16.6 Crosses 23.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lecce vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Inter
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.85
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
230 Passes 506
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
05.03.2023 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
13.08.2022 Lecce Lecce 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
19.01.2020 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
26.08.2019 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
29.01.2012 Lecce Lecce 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA

Lecce 0-4 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-4
AWAY Inter
0.99 xG 2.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 10
294 Passes 484
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter ran out comfortable winners over Lecce 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lecce had 39% of the ball to Inter's 61%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.99 to 2.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lecce and 1.83 for Inter.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Inter?

Lecce 0-4 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lecce 22%, draw 24%, Inter 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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