Juventus 3-2 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Feb 2024

Juventus
3-2 HT 2-2
Frosinone
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Juventus vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 25% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.61
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.7
X/1
14%
3.45
X/2
7%
16.6
X/X
10%
6.92
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
8%
13.35
2/X
5%
21.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventus v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.90/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.95
-8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -26%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.7 Crosses 11.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Juventus vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Frosinone
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.25 xG 0.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
454 Passes 274
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.01.2024 Juventus Juventus 4-0 HT 2-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTK
23.12.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
15.02.2019 Juventus Juventus 3-0 HT 2-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
23.09.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
07.02.2016 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
23.09.2015 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA

Juventus 3-2 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
3-2
AWAY Frosinone
2.17 xG 0.38
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
541 Passes 315
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus nicked a narrow win over Frosinone 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventus had 62% of the ball to Frosinone's 38%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.17 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Juventus's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Juventus and 0.33 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Frosinone?

Juventus 3-2 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie A on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Juventus 58%, draw 23%, Frosinone 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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