Özbekistan U23 3-2 Lübnan U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 7 Jan 2026

Özbekistan U23
3-2 HT 1-0
Lübnan U23
📅07/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2026

Özbekistan U23 vs Lübnan U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
65%
-1.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Özbekistan U23 v Lübnan U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Özbekistan U23 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübnan U23 EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+78% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.7 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Özbekistan U23 3-2 Lübnan U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Özbekistan U23
3-2
AWAY Lübnan U23
2.56 xG 2.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
384 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Özbekistan U23 vs Lübnan U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Özbekistan U23 squeezed past Lübnan U23 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Özbekistan U23 as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Özbekistan U23 had 54% of the ball to Lübnan U23's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.56 to 2.21.

What was the final score of Özbekistan U23 vs Lübnan U23?

Özbekistan U23 3-2 Lübnan U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Özbekistan U23 vs Lübnan U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Özbekistan U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Özbekistan U23 64%, draw 20%, Lübnan U23 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Özbekistan U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Özbekistan U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFCU23 More AFC U23 Championship
7 Jan 2026
14:30 Japonya U23 vs Suriye U23 Analysis →
14:30 Güney Kore U23 vs İran U23 Analysis →
19:30 Katar U23 vs BAE U23 Analysis →