Japonya U23 5-0 Suriye U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 7 Jan 2026

📅07/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.6pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Suriye U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.87/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.08
+6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +43%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
16.0 Crosses 25.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Suriye U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.47
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
543 Passes 163
86% Pass Accuracy 60%
24 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2020 Suriye U23 Suriye U23 2-1 HT 1-1 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
5-0
AWAY Suriye U23
2.34 xG 0.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
379 Passes 356
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs Suriye U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 swept aside Suriye U23 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Japonya U23 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 51% of the ball to Suriye U23's 49%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 2.34 to 0.06.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs Suriye U23?

Japonya U23 5-0 Suriye U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs Suriye U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 57%, draw 24%, Suriye U23 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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