Katar U23 0-2 BAE U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 7 Jan 2026

📅07/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+9.7pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.0pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.45/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.60
+20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +59%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
11.0 Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY BAE U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
443 Passes 176
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
22.03.2023 Katar U23 Katar U23 0-1 HT 0-1 BAE U23 BAE U23 HU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar U23
0-2
AWAY BAE U23
1.07 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
360 Passes 191
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katar U23 vs BAE U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BAE U23 beat Katar U23 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Katar U23 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Katar U23 had 62% of the ball to BAE U23's 38%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Katar U23 vs BAE U23?

Katar U23 0-2 BAE U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar U23 vs BAE U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katar U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Katar U23 47%, draw 25%, BAE U23 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Katar U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katar U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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