Calvary 0-1 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 7 Jan 2026

Calvary
0-1 HT 0-1
BUL
📅07/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Calvary EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 53%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.25
+136% / -74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
POST-MATCH Calvary vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL nicked a narrow win over Calvary 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Calvary vs BUL?

Calvary 0-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Calvary vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated an BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Calvary 25%, draw 28%, BUL 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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