NEC vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals
NEC vs Lugazi Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
NEC 1-0 Lugazi Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
NEC nicked a narrow win over Lugazi Municipal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, NEC had 54% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 46%, shots finished 13-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NEC and 0.50 for Lugazi Municipal.
What was the final score of NEC vs Lugazi Municipal?
NEC 1-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs Lugazi Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split NEC 62%, draw 23%, Lugazi Municipal 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.