Gzira United 1-0 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 2-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
16.09.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 0-4 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
28.01.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
11.09.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
07.05.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 2-1 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
12.12.2021 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Hibernians FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gzira United and 2.00 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Hibernians FC?

Gzira United 1-0 Hibernians FC in the Malta - FA Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 43%, draw 24%, Hibernians FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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