Hibernians FC 3-2 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.68
Over 2.5
31%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
56%
+13.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
44%
-13.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 39%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.70/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.90
-28% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Gzira United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 0-4 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
28.01.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
11.09.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
07.05.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 2-1 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
12.12.2021 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
3-2
AWAY Gzira United
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC squeezed past Gzira United 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hibernians FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 45% of the ball to Gzira United's 55%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gzira United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.40 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Gzira United?

Hibernians FC 3-2 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 33%, draw 36%, Gzira United 32%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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