Sirens 0-3 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-9.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sirens EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.95/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.40/0.72
+25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -2%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
224 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sirens
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Valletta
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Valletta Valletta 2-0 HT 1-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
01.02.2023 Sirens Sirens 3-3 HT 0-2 Valletta Valletta MLTP
03.09.2022 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
06.02.2022 Sirens Sirens 2-1 HT 2-1 Valletta Valletta MLTP
17.10.2021 Valletta Valletta 3-1 HT 1-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sirens
0-3
AWAY Valletta
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sirens vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valletta cruised past Sirens 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valletta as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Sirens had 50% of the ball to Valletta's 50%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Valletta led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sirens and 1.80 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Sirens vs Valletta?

Sirens 0-3 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sirens vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sirens 23%, draw 28%, Valletta 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valletta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valletta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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