Gudja United 0-1 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gudja United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 56%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.11/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.70
+37% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gudja United
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Mosta
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-0 HT 0-0 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
16.12.2022 Gudja United Gudja United 2-1 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
20.08.2022 Mosta Mosta 1-2 HT 0-1 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
12.03.2022 Gudja United Gudja United 1-0 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
04.12.2021 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-3 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gudja United
0-1
AWAY Mosta
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gudja United vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta edged past Gudja United 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mosta as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Gudja United had 55% of the ball to Mosta's 45%, shots finished 4-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gudja United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Gudja United and 0.40 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Gudja United vs Mosta?

Gudja United 0-1 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gudja United vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gudja United 23%, draw 28%, Mosta 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mosta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mosta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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