Atletico Madrid II 1-0 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.23
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
1.00/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.58
-21% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hercules
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1-0
AWAY Hercules
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II squeezed past Hercules 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 45% of the ball to Hercules's 55%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Hercules?

Atletico Madrid II 1-0 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 37%, draw 28%, Hercules 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
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