Ponferradina 0-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.11
6+ Goals
10%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
1.27/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.34
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Barakaldo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 0-1 HT 0-1 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
0-1
AWAY Barakaldo
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo edged past Ponferradina 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ponferradina had 54% of the ball to Barakaldo's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?

Ponferradina 0-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 43%, draw 25%, Barakaldo 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ponferradina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
7 Feb 2025
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