Barakaldo 0-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
4.98
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
0.84/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.80
-39% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
0-1
AWAY Ponferradina
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina squeezed past Barakaldo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Barakaldo had 61% of the ball to Ponferradina's 39%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Ponferradina?

Barakaldo 0-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 44%, draw 27%, Ponferradina 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barakaldo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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