Hercules 1-2 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Oct 2024

Hercules
1-2 HT 0-1
Atletico Madrid II
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Hercules vs Atletico Madrid II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.14
6+ Goals
10%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hercules v Atletico Madrid II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.47/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.67
+18% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +69%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hercules 1-2 Atletico Madrid II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
1-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II nicked a narrow win over Hercules 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hercules had 51% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 49%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Atletico Madrid II?

Hercules 1-2 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hercules 40%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid II 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hercules) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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