Real Union 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.50/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.02
+20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
18.11.2023 Real Union Real Union 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
30.04.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
27.11.2022 Real Union Real Union 2-3 HT 0-2 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
03.05.2010 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS2
28.11.2009 Real Union Real Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
1-0
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union nicked a narrow win over Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Union as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Union had 54% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 46%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Union and 1.17 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Real Union 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Union 45%, draw 28%, Gimnastic Tarragona 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Union), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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