Celta Vigo II 4-1 Gimnastica Segoviana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
12%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.42
+32% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
4-1
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Gimnastica Segoviana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II ran out comfortable winners over Gimnastica Segoviana 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 61% of the ball to Gimnastica Segoviana's 39%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Celta Vigo II 4-1 Gimnastica Segoviana in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 53%, draw 25%, Gimnastica Segoviana 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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