Athletic Bilbao II 0-2 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Oct 2024

Athletic Bilbao II
0-2 HT 0-2
Ourense CF
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Athletic Bilbao II vs Ourense CF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.09
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao II v Ourense CF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.92/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.99
+30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Athletic Bilbao II 0-2 Ourense CF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
0-2
AWAY Ourense CF
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF beat Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 62% of the ball to Ourense CF's 38%, shots finished 23-5.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Ourense CF?

Athletic Bilbao II 0-2 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 45%, draw 26%, Ourense CF 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5
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