Marbella 2-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.18
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.42/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.13
+5% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
462 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
2-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella edged past Intercity Alicante 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marbella as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Marbella had 49% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 51%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Intercity Alicante?

Marbella 2-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marbella 44%, draw 25%, Intercity Alicante 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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