Perugia 0-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.72/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.16
+34% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
14.04.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
10.12.2023 Perugia Perugia 2-2 HT 2-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
21.02.2021 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
25.10.2020 Perugia Perugia 2-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
0-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro nicked a narrow win over Perugia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Vis Pesaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Perugia had 56% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 44%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perugia and 0.80 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

Perugia 0-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Perugia 38%, draw 31%, Vis Pesaro 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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