Greuther Fürth 2-1 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Feb 2025

Greuther Fürth
2-1 HT 2-1
Jahn Regensburg
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
18%
4.56
X/2
13%
8.23
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.85
2/2
8%
6.25
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.52/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.60
-18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.9 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AFK
30.08.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-4 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
14.04.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
07.10.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
17.03.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
22.11.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-1 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Greuther Fürth 2-1 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
2-1
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.99 xG 0.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
211 Passes 276
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
42 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth nicked a narrow win over Jahn Regensburg 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Greuther Fürth as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 45% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 55%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.99 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.00 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg?

Greuther Fürth 2-1 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 45%, draw 28%, Jahn Regensburg 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greuther Fürth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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