Preussen Münster 1-2 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.95
1/2
13%
23.4
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
9%
7.05
X/2
13%
4.92
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
13%
2.84
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.30/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.56
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
22.1 Crosses 19.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hamburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.10 xG 1.90
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 7
230 Passes 478
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
30 Box Touches 26
34 Crosses 22
31.08.2024 Hamburg Hamburg 4-1 HT 3-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
1-2
AWAY Hamburg
0.36 xG 2.29
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
162 Passes 474
65% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg squeezed past Preussen Münster 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Hamburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 31% of the ball to Hamburg's 69%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.36 to 2.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hamburg's control.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Hamburg?

Preussen Münster 1-2 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 32%, draw 28%, Hamburg 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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