Concarneau 1-2 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Feb 2025

Concarneau
1-2 HT 0-1
Orleans
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Concarneau vs Orleans Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.16
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
13%
6.02
X/2
17%
5.51
X/X
11%
4.23
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.62
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concarneau v Orleans — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.01/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.89
-17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Concarneau vs Orleans Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Orleans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.09.2024 Orleans Orleans 2-3 HT 2-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
26.05.2023 Orleans Orleans 1-2 HT 1-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
12.08.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 0-3 HT 1-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
29.01.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 0-1 HT 0-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
13.08.2021 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
10.05.2021 Orleans Orleans 3-1 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans nicked a narrow win over Concarneau 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orleans as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orleans led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Concarneau and 1.67 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Orleans?

Concarneau 1-2 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 32%, draw 27%, Orleans 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orleans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orleans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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