Chateauroux 1-2 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Feb 2025

Chateauroux
1-2 HT 1-1
Valenciennes
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Chateauroux vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.12
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.48
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
13%
5.77
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
17%
3.52
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.9
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chateauroux v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
340 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Chateauroux vs Valenciennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 378
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.09.2024 Valenciennes Valenciennes 3-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
23.01.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-3 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
12.09.2020 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
08.11.2019 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
18.01.2019 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
10.08.2018 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2

Chateauroux 1-2 Valenciennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
1-2
AWAY Valenciennes
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes edged past Chateauroux 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Valenciennes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chateauroux had 46% of the ball to Valenciennes's 54%, shots finished 14-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valenciennes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chateauroux and 1.50 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Valenciennes?

Chateauroux 1-2 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 35%, draw 27%, Valenciennes 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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