Villefranche 2-0 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.12
6+ Goals
7%
20.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 35% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.01
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
12%
7.43
X/2
11%
4.5
X/X
22%
4.12
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.78
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.99/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.43
-18% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Nancy
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 Nancy Nancy 2-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
11.08.2023 Nancy Nancy 1-1 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
01.04.2023 Nancy Nancy 3-2 HT 3-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
07.11.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
2-0
AWAY Nancy
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche beat Nancy 2-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Villefranche found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Villefranche had 43% of the ball to Nancy's 57%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nancy led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Villefranche and 1.50 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Nancy?

Villefranche 2-0 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 28%, draw 33%, Nancy 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nancy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
7 Feb 2025
21:30 Chateauroux vs Valenciennes Analysis →
21:30 Sochaux vs Paris 13 Atletico Analysis →
21:30 Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Quevilly Analysis →
21:30 Rouen vs Nimes Analysis →
21:30 Concarneau vs Orleans Analysis →