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Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caerau (Ely) v Llantwit Major — Team-Based Signals
Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Caerau (Ely)
GALFAW
Llantwit Major got the better of Caerau (Ely) 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 1.50 for Llantwit Major.
What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?
Caerau (Ely) 2-4 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 47%, draw 24%, Llantwit Major 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) went the other way.