Gresford Athletic 3-0 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Feb 2025

Gresford Athletic
3-0 HT 2-0
Holywell
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Gresford Athletic vs Holywell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.7pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.0pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gresford Athletic v Holywell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 75%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.03/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.83
-18% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +33%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Gresford Athletic vs Holywell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Holywell
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Holywell Holywell 4-1 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
12.01.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-5 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
21.01.2023 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
24.09.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
12.03.2022 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 4-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
01.10.2021 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic cruised past Holywell 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. Holywell carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gresford Athletic and 2.83 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Holywell?

Gresford Athletic 3-0 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 24%, draw 22%, Holywell 55%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Holywell), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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