Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Sibenik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.51
Over
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
28%
5.16
2-3
38%
1.95
4-5
23%
2.53
6+
11%
5.98
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.16 — our 28% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dinamo Zagreb win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-13.9pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sibenik EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.86/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.67
+12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
22.0 Crosses 12.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sibenik
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.47 xG 0.64
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
608 Passes 223
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 0-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
16.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
05.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
11.03.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
06.11.2022 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3-0
AWAY Sibenik
1.39 xG 0.83
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
565 Passes 213
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Sibenik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb cruised past Sibenik 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 69% of the ball to Sibenik's 31%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.39 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.67 for Sibenik.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Sibenik?

Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Sibenik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 63%, draw 20%, Sibenik 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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