Nafta 2-1 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.1
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Radomlje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 2-0 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
26.07.2024 Nafta Nafta 2-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
10.06.2020 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
2-1
AWAY Radomlje
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta edged past Radomlje 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nafta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 47% of the ball to Radomlje's 53%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nafta and 1.33 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Radomlje?

Nafta 2-1 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nafta 38%, draw 27%, Radomlje 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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