Port Vale vs Burton Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Port Vale v Burton Albion — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Port Vale 2-2 Burton Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale and Burton Albion finished all square at 2-2. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.68, roughly 60%.
Under the surface, Port Vale had 43% of the ball to Burton Albion's 57%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.72 to 2.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Port Vale and 1.00 for Burton Albion.
Port Vale vs Burton Albion Result & Final Score
Port Vale 2-2 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Port Vale vs Burton Albion Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 42%, draw 26%, Burton Albion 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.