Lumezzane 1-2 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.37/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.72
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +54%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
261 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2025 Cittadella Cittadella 0-1 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-2
AWAY Cittadella
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella nicked a narrow win over Lumezzane 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cittadella as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 58% of the ball to Cittadella's 42%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Cittadella?

Lumezzane 1-2 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie C on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 29%, draw 30%, Cittadella 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Under 2.5
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