Casertana vs Foggia Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casertana v Foggia Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Casertana vs Foggia Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Casertana
İTC
Casertana 3-2 Foggia Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Casertana nicked a narrow win over Foggia Calcio 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Casertana had 44% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 56%, shots finished 11-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Casertana and 0.50 for Foggia Calcio.
What was the final score of Casertana vs Foggia Calcio?
Casertana 3-2 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casertana vs Foggia Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Casertana 62%, draw 21%, Foggia Calcio 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.