Casertana 4-0 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.40/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.57
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
05.04.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-2 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
04.12.2023 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
30.01.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
04.11.2020 Casertana Casertana 0-2 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
30.11.2015 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
4-0
AWAY Foggia Calcio
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana swept aside Foggia Calcio 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casertana had 42% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 58%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Foggia Calcio?

Casertana 4-0 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Casertana 43%, draw 30%, Foggia Calcio 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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