Crotone 4-0 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.74/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.50
+1% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
2W-3D-1L
AWAY US Latina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 US Latina US Latina 0-4 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
10.03.2024 Crotone Crotone 1-3 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.11.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
25.03.2023 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
27.11.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
07.05.2016 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
4-0
AWAY US Latina
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone swept aside US Latina 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Crotone had 60% of the ball to US Latina's 40%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crotone and 1.00 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Crotone vs US Latina?

Crotone 4-0 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Crotone 54%, draw 24%, US Latina 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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