Athletic Carpi 0-2 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.78
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
42%
-13.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.19/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gubbio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
0-2
AWAY Gubbio
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio got the better of Athletic Carpi 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Gubbio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 48% of the ball to Gubbio's 52%, shots finished 15-15.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Gubbio?

Athletic Carpi 0-2 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 29%, draw 31%, Gubbio 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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