Gubbio 1-0 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.93/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.00
-28% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
1-0
AWAY Athletic Carpi
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio edged past Athletic Carpi 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gubbio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gubbio had 37% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 63%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi?

Gubbio 1-0 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 41%, draw 30%, Athletic Carpi 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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