17/11/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Legnago Salus vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
22%
Draw
27%
43%
Away Win
49%
47%
Under 2.5
56%
53%
Over 2.5
44%
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
51%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legnago Salus v SPAL — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Legnago Salus
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
SPAL
EU Bookmakers 53%
-9% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
1.01/1.57
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.88/1.24
-5%
/
-22%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+32%
/
-24%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
290 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
345 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.3
Yellow Cards
3.7
POST-MATCH
Legnago Salus vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
SPAL swept aside Legnago Salus 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SPAL as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs SPAL?
Legnago Salus 0-3 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs SPAL?
Before kick-off our model rated an SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 34%, draw 22%, SPAL 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SPAL), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (SPAL)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTC
More Italy - Serie C
17 Nov 2024