Ternana 5-0 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.74/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.54
+60% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
5-0
AWAY Lucchese
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana cruised past Lucchese 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ternana had 59% of the ball to Lucchese's 41%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Lucchese?

Ternana 5-0 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ternana 54%, draw 24%, Lucchese 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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