Sestri Levante 0-3 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.68
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 39% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.8pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.93/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.50
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rimini
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2024 Rimini Rimini 0-1 HT 0-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
16.11.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
0-3
AWAY Rimini
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini swept aside Sestri Levante 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rimini as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 63% of the ball to Rimini's 37%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sestri Levante and 0.50 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Rimini?

Sestri Levante 0-3 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rimini win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 24%, draw 32%, Rimini 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rimini), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rimini) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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