Alcione 2-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Mar 2025

Alcione
2-1 HT 1-0
Pergolettese
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Alcione vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
30%
2.66
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
6.52
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alcione v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.00/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.09
-10% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Alcione vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pergolettese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-2 HT 1-2 Alcione İTC

Alcione 2-1 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
2-1
AWAY Pergolettese
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione squeezed past Pergolettese 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Alcione found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcione had 49% of the ball to Pergolettese's 51%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Pergolettese?

Alcione 2-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcione win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alcione 37%, draw 31%, Pergolettese 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcione) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alcione) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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